News outlets constantly report on jobs, housing prices, housing inventory and a myriad of other factors that affect the residential real estate market. With every data point it seems like the stock market moves up and down in a ratcheted fashion as if the latest data point has solidified the recovery or the doom of the market. Smart investors would be wise to look at trends and to always remember, real estate at its core is an investment in a location.

Jobs and the Economy

Jobs and retail sales can be a good barometer of the national economy. If people are employed and spending money, it is generally a good bet that the economy is doing well. This is a positive sign for real estate, but here is where the local part comes in. Cities like Detroit and Cleveland know all too well that they are not represented by national statistics.

This is not to say that national statistics do not affect the way people think, act and feel locally, but investors are best served by knowing how their markets trend with the broad nation. Recoveries in cities like Los Angeles and New York will be leading indicators, while second tier cities like Chicago might be several quarters behind.

Furthermore, the speed of recoveries also depend on the fundamental (or lack thereof) reason for the initial inflation. Consider a city like Las Vegas. This city began to see economic gains because of increased tourism; however, as the local economy begin to pick up steam, construction quickly became the growth engine. With the construction enormous casinos and the real estate development boom, Las Vegas became a city of physical labors. Even as tourism began to dip, the city continued to prosper because of this false economy.

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